![]() Should we call? It would be a somewhat unreasonable bluff, given the ridiculously large sizing into a $10 pot… once could simply risk a pot sized $10 bet to bluff and yield the same number of folds most likely. Our opponent moves all in for $100, a 10x pot overbet. We hold 10 ♥ 8 ♥ and have made the ten high straight on the river. On the river the board is 9 ♣ 8 ♦ 6 ♠ 2 ♠ 7 ♥. When the entire results tree consists of us winning half the current pot, or losing it all, we need to be collecting that half at a much higher frequency than normal to actually make money on the call. (4 times we win $5 each for a total of $20, and the 5th time they show us a heart and we lose $50, for a net loss of $30 over these 5 trials). Even if we knew this player loved to bluff in such spots, and estimated they only have a heart in their hand 20% of the time, our call loses money despite being “right” 80% of the time or 4 times out of 5. In order to make money on this call, we will need to catch them 91% of the time. It’s a terrible risk/reward ratio that makes calling very unattractive. So in this situation we are risking $50 to win $5. When that happens, the $50 bets will be returned and we’ll split the $10 pot. But this isn’t a normal bluff catching opportunity because here when we are right, we can only chop the pot with all those bluffs. People sometimes mistake what’s really going on here though by thinking, “I think she’s bluffing, I won’t be bullied out here, I call” The problem is in a normal bluff catching scenario, when we are right we win the pot and the opponent’s bet, in this case $60 for our risk of the $50 call. We are simply bluff catching when we call, since we don’t hold a heart in our hand. ![]() Should we call? I think this is an easy one, which is why I chose it first. There is $10 in the pot and our opponent moves all in for $50. We are on the river and the board is A ♥ K ♥ 10 ♥ 7 ♥ 2 ♥. ![]() Let’s look at a couple situations where it matters however. For instance, if we are playing NLHE and the board is A ♦ K ♠ Q ♦ 10 ♣ J ♥, everyone who goes to showdown will split the pot with an ace high straight, and regardless of players hole cards no other outcome is possible. Let’s dig in.įirstly, we are not talking about a situation where we can’t possibly ever lose. But there are times where folding is far superior to calling for a chop. Players often don’t like folding in some of these scenarios, perhaps feeling like it will look weak if they fold, or they don’t want to be bullied or bluffed. ![]() And your worst case, of course is to lose the whole thing. Calling for a chop means calling a bet in a situation where your best case scenario is to split the pot. ![]()
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